Biden’s lead over Trump in FiveThirtyEight’s average of national polls has gone from +8.3 to +8.0 over that same span (since July 30). There’s also the nationwide rise in coronavirus cases since mid-June to consider. 9/1 Joe Biden or Donald Trump to win the 2020 US Election T&Cs apply.
After trailing Donald Trump on the odds board for much of the past three months, Biden drew even with Trump earlier this week with +100 odds at European sportsbook Betfair.
On Wednesday night, Vice President Mike Pence and Senator Kamala Harris squared off in the Vice Presidential debate. Meanwhile, Trump is now a +160 underdog, giving him a 37.7% implied probability of winning. Meanwhile, Trump’s 36.2% implied probability with +150 odds is the worst it’s been this cycle, falling from 40.5% and +125 over the past two weeks. withdrawal restrictions & full T&C’s apply Full T&C’s apply Claim. Please try again. The latest election odds in the 2020 US Presidential race show former Vice President Joe Biden as the favorite over President Donald Trump.Most European books now have Biden around -150 to win, and Trump around +130. Do mid-term election results bode well for Trump’s 2020 chances? Pictured: President Donald Trump. Trump’s implied probability hasn’t spiked above 40% since then. Here’s a brief snapshot of notable odds movement over that span: A day after Donald Trump announced that federal social distancing guidelines would be extended through the end of April, the gap has widened between Trump and Joe Biden in 2020 election odds. Football, Horse Racing and more! Joe Biden is now a -161 betting favorite, giving him a 55.8% implied probability — that’s a 3.2% increase over the past two weeks and the biggest edge lead the former Vice President has had over Donald Trump since we started tracking these odds on Super Tuesday. US election odds at Ladbrokes.com Trump out, Clooney in? Note that the implied percentages will not always add up to 100%. Early voting in many key swing states is already well underway, which could be why many predictive models, such as FiveThirtyEight’s Election Forecast, are more bullish on Biden’s chances than the betting markets. There’s never been so much interest from punters regarding that (other) first Tuesday in November. Posts Tagged: 2020 US Election. And while the current odds are now closer to what polls seem to indicate about the state of the presidential race, Biden actually still has a +6 edge over Trump in Real Clear Politics’ average of notable polls: As the U.S. continues to grapple with issues of racial inequality and a virus that has claimed more than 100,000 American lives, it appears that betting markets have at least adjusted for the uncertainty of how the coming weeks and months will impact the presidential race. It’s Donald Trump’s Inauguration Buzzword Bingo, Donald Trump odds-on to sport a red tie at his inauguration, Donald Trump Evens to be impeached during first term in White House, WATCH: We count down Ireland’s Top 10 betting surprises of 2016, Politics in 2017: Theresa May 3/1 to be replaced as Prime Minister, Bookies offer long odds for Trump getting his wish on Farage, It’s 20/1 for Nigel to become UK ambassador, Odds slashed on Michelle Obama winning 2020 US Election, Celtic hero Larsson favourtie to replace outgoing Lennon, Donald Trump’s odds cut into 6/4 for US Election, Biden favourite again to oust Trump in US Presidential Election, Burnley – Mothers, Daughters, Sisters, Fans, Sheffield Wednesday – Mothers, Daughters, Sisters, Fans, Ryle Nugent, Stephen Ferris and Dominic Ryan talk Six Nations. Now a day after accepting renomination at the Republican National Convention, Trump is within striking distance of Joe Biden, who is still favored but has seen his implied probability fall from 61.2% (-200) to 49.6% (-120) over the same span (11.6% decrease). The first significant shift in election odds comes amidst ongoing unrest across the country in the wake of George Floyd’s death.